Readers often ask how long it will take for an open trade to reach our target.
I wish I knew.
Only the market can answer that question, as Gold did last Friday…
Six weeks!
It was only a matter of weeks — not months, not quarters — before gold futures hit our first objective:
What a face-ripper!
If this isn’t a clear indication of a new secular bull run for precious metals, what else do you need to see?
Luckily for anyone thinking about adding to positions or locking in profits, the extension level at approximately 2,450 marks a logical area for the rally to take a breather.
It doesn’t mean it will. Nevertheless, it’s still a good idea to take some profits here.
Once buyers drive gold above 2,465, we can add to existing long positions (or open new ones) with a rough target of 3,300.
Meanwhile, Platinum and Palladium are looking juicy…
These low-profile precious metals offer excellent opportunities as gold digests its gains.
I highlighted Platinum last week as it challenges a critical breakout level. And our...
Now, whether we consider the shiny yellow rock a viable investment is another story.
You know I’m bullish…
Yet I can’t overlook silver’s lack of participation.
I think of silver as gold’s rambunctious cousin — lots of fun until someone gets hurt — and someone always gets hurt!
Perhaps trading silver isn’t your cup of tea. I don’t blame you.
But silver rallies possess an infectious exuberance. Its rowdy antics and monstrous daily ranges magnetize investors as they attempt to skirt silver’s flame without burning to a crisp.
Unfortunately, silver isn’t bringing the heat. It has yet to break out, and the silver-to-gold ratio is trending lower.
A similar scenario unfolded last spring when gold ran up against its former all-time highs:
The result: 10 more months of sideways chop.
Despite a likely pullback, gold futures and the Gold Shares ETF $GLD remain buys if they trade above last month’s breakout levels (2,100 and 193, respectively).
Friends and family are blowing up my phone (and this time, it’s not just about baby pics). They’ve noticed gold’s rally to new highs – and they want to know whether to buy physical gold or an ETF — bars or coins.
But silver has yet to enter the conversation…
I get it. New all-time highs have a way of capturing the investor’s collective conscience.
But while gold is printing new all-time highs, silver futures post a mere multi-month high.
I’m no fan of the catch-up trade, as I always want to own the strongest name(s), but check out silver’s four-decade base:
What a monster!
Silver reached its peak in early 1980 at roughly 41.50. The bulls didn’t see that level again until the spring of 2011 when price ran just shy of 50.
Spring is ahead today, and the soft, shiny metal is trading at approximately 25. That means it would have to double before hitting a new all-time high.
I’m not waiting around for silver to complete this half-century base.